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Public favorites generally fared well
MessagePosté le: Mardi 28 Mai 2019, 8h18, Sujet: Public favorites generally fared well Répondre en citant
liny195

 
Inscrit le: Jan 17, 2019
Messages: 65




in the first half of the 2018 MLB season.There was still contrarian value to be found in situations like Friday's Padres-Phillies matchup http://www.angelsfanproshop.com/authentic-zack-cozart-jersey , however.Betting Odds: San Diego Padres at Philadelphia PhilliesPadres odds: +good for recreational gamblers is bad for contrarian bettors. Here are how unpopular underdogs have performed in 2018:Underdogs getting fewer than 50% of moneyline tickets were 470-697 straight-up, costing a $100 bettor $3,408. At nearly every threshold it was not profitable to fade the public, except in the most lopsided games.Teams getting fewer than 20% of bets — all underdogs — went 26-34 (43.3%) straight-up Albert Pujols Jersey , returning a profit of $1,057 for a $100 bettor. These results are not an anomaly.>> Follow John Ewing in The Action Network App to get free alerts on all of his bets.Since 2005, all underdogs getting fewer than 20% of moneyline tickets have gone 870-1,267, producing a profit of $9,449 for a $100 bettor.We often encourage gamblers to bet against the public, and these extreme situations are a perfect contrarian spot. On Friday, only one game features this kind of unbalanced betting.The Philadelphia Phillies are -158 favorites vs. the San Diego Padres (7:05 p.m. ET). At the time of publication Mike Trout Jersey , 86% of moneyline tickets are on the Phillies.>> Get a 7-day free trial to access more premium MLB articles like this during the season.The Padres are an unpopular underdog to target. Making San Diego more appealing is that they start the second half on the road.Historically, home-field advantage has been overvalued in baseball. Dogs getting fewer than 20% of moneyline bets playing on the road have gone 523-821 straight-up. A $100 bettor playing these matches would be up $10,055 (7.5% ROI) since 2005.The opinion on this game is from the individual writer and is based on his research, analysis and perspective. It is independent of, and may not always match with, the algorithm-driven Best Bets from Sports Insights. The San Diego Padres are in last place in the National League West, but they are reportedly looking to acquire a No. 1 starting pitcher as the July 31 non-waiver trade deadline approaches.According to Dennis Lin of The Athletic, the Padres "checked in" on the availability of New York Mets right-hander Noah Syndergaard. Lin described San Diego's pursuit as a "wide-ranging search for a frontline starter."Syndergaard is on the disabled list with hand http://www.angelsfanproshop.com/authentic-zack-cozart-jersey , foot and mouth disease, perJames Wagnerof theNew York Times, but he is a dominant force when healthy and pitching at his best. The 2016 All-Star has made 13 starts this season and sports a 2.89 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 83 strikeouts in 74.2 innings.While health problems have plagued him of late and he made just seven starts last year, Syndergaard is 25 years old and figures to have a bright future ahead of him.San Diego doesn't seem like a logical trade partner given last-place teams are typically sellers and not buyers at this time of year, but Syndergaard isn't set for unrestricted free agency until 2022. He could anchor the Padres rotation for years to come if the Friars acquired him and satisfy their search for an ace.San Diego ranks an ugly 24th in MLB with a 4.83 starters' ERA and needs a stabilizing force if it is going to contend for a playoff spot in 2019 and beyond.Syndergaard could represent just that.
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